Interpret the evidence used to plan and review HIV programmes. Examine patterns of HIV, the distinction between HIV infection and AIDS, and the social and economic consequences of the epidemic. Compare South African and Zimbabwean responses while recognising differences in data sources, populations and service systems.

Learning outcomes

  • Interpret common HIV indicators without confusing population estimates with individual outcomes.
  • Critically compare trends from different data sources and periods.
  • Identify service gaps and explain the limitations of available evidence.
  • Prepare an evidence-based needs assessment for a defined programme.

Main topics

  • HIV and AIDS concepts for programme managers
  • Incidence, prevalence, mortality and denominators
  • Transmission and prevention principles
  • Testing, treatment coverage and viral suppression indicators
  • Surveillance, estimates and uncertainty
  • Poverty, migration and economic effects
  • Country and district needs assessment

Practical task

Use public aggregate data or a supplied synthetic dataset to prepare a district HIV situation analysis. Include an indicator table, two accessible charts, a data-quality appraisal and three justified programme priorities. Do not collect identifiable health information.

Assessment

Submit the situation analysis and an individual interpretation exercise. Assessment considers indicator accuracy, appropriate comparisons, transparent uncertainty and the justification of priorities.